Don’t let the turkey cool – at least not when it comes to loosening the locking restrictions.
This is the message of a new study that uses mathematical modeling to show that governments should not just rule out lock-in measures at once for everyone, once infection rates slow down, unless they want to take risks coronavirus cases which threatens to overwhelm their health care system.
“Decision makers – pay attention to math: getting out of the blockage requires a gradual and phased approach to keep the infection under control,” said Michael Bonsall of the University of Oxford’s Mathematical Ecology Research Group, which helped lead the research team.
“Without that attention, you risk burdening health systems with further waves of infection,” Bonsall told CNN.
Lock restrictions or “pollution control strategies” vary from country to country, but include travel bans, school closures, work from home / stay at home, orders and quarantine. They can reduce the infection rate, spreading the infection over a longer period of time in an approach known as straightening the curve.
Thanks to locking measures, about 60 million coronavirus infections have been prevented in the United States and 285 million in China, separate study recently published in the journal Nature.
But prison forces have enormous emotional costs and have crippled economies around the world, including the official plunge of the United States into recession.
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